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Wimbledon 2015 Preview – Men’s Singles

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It will be the 129th Wimbledon Championships of all-time (2nd most of all-time) and the 48th in the Open-era (most in the Open-era tied with French Open).

Questions before Wimbledon 2015?

  • Who will win the 129th (all-time) and 48th (Open-era) Wimbledon Championships?
  • Djokovic will be the FIRST who defends his title since 2007?
  • Djokovic will be the FIRST who defends his title in this decade?
  • Djokovic will equal his coach’s number of titles in Wimbledon?
  • In 2007 and in 2011, the AO champ won Wimbledon. In 2015 will be the same?
  • Will Roger Federer be a sole record holder of Wimbledon with 8 titles?
  • Will Federer reach his 10th Wimbledon final equaling Bill Tilden’s all-time record?
  • Since 2005, first time in his career, Rafael Nadal will win his first Grand Slam of the year in Wimbledon?
  • Will Nadal extand his all-time record streak of winning at least one Grand Slam title for 11 consecutive years?
  • Nadal and/or Djokovic will be the 5th player in the Open-era who reaches his 200th match wins at Grand Slams?
  • Since parting ways with Ivan Lendl, Andy Murray can break through and win his first title (with Mauresmo)?
  • Or it will be a new champion, the 66th of Wimbledon?
  • Will John Isner be the first US champion of the XXIth century in Wimbledon?
  • By winning Wimbledon, John Isner will snap the second longest winless streak by US players winning Grand Slam title in Wimbledon?
  • Since 1976, no player could win the title without losing a set. This trend will be changed this year?
  • Wimbledon has the lowest match with a retirement in the Open-era (109). It will be the 110th match with a retirement or after 2012 it will be another championship without any retirement?
  • Last year, record-high 80 matches were played with at least one tie-break in Wimbledon. 62,5% of the matches will result again at least one TB?

Entitled to Defend…

2926 days ago happened LAST TIME when a champion could defend his title (2007, Roger Federer).

Only 20 champions defended the title in Wimbledon (all-time):

1. William Renshaw (GBR) 5 times 1882-86* HOF
2. Pete Sampras (USA) 5 times 1994-95, 1998-2000 HOF
3. Lawrence Doherty (GBR) 4 times 1903-06* HOF
4. Björn Borg (SWE) 4 times 1977-80 HOF
5. Roger Federer (SUI) 4 times 2004-07**
6. Reginald Doherty (GBR) 3 times 1898-1900* HOF
7. Anthony Wilding (NZL) 3 times 1911-13* HOF
8. Fred Perry (GBR) 2 times 1935-36 HOF
9. Rod Laver (AUS) 2 times 1962, 1969 HOF
10. John Hartley (GBR) 1 time 1880*
11. Wilfred Baddeley (GBR) 1 time 1892* HOF
12. Joshua Pim (IRL) 1 time 1894*
13. Arthur Gore (GBR) 1 time 1909* HOF
14. Bill Tilden (USA) 1 time 1921* HOF
15. Don Budge (USA) 1 time 1938 HOF
16. Lew Hoad (AUS) 1 time 1957 HOF
17. Roy Emerson (AUS) 1 time 1965 HOF
18. John Newcombe (AUS) 1 time 1971 HOF
19. John McEnroe (USA) 1 time 1984 HOF
20. Boris Becker (GER) 1 time 1986 HOF

* Challenge Round
* Still active

Only 7 players managed to defend the title in Wimbledon (Open-era):

1. Pete Sampras (USA) 5 times 1994-95, 1998-2000 HOF
2. Björn Borg (SWE) 4 times 1977-80 HOF
3. Roger Federer (SUI) 4 times 2004-07**
4. Rod Laver (AUS) 1 time 1969 HOF
5. John Newcombe (AUS) 1 time 1971 HOF
6. John McEnroe (USA) 1 time 1984 HOF
7. Boris Becker (GER) 1 time 1986 HOF

Title defending in Wimbledon
Since 1880 in Wimbledon, there was at least one player in each decade who defended successfully his title, except the 1940s (between1940-45 there was no competition due to WWII).
Djokovic will be the FIRST champion who defends his title in this decade in Wimbledon?
Djokovic was able to defend his title (2012-13) ONLY in Melbourne during his career.


Djokovic’s Double Shift

If Djokovic wins in Melbourne, there is 50% chance to reach at least the final in Wimbledon and 25% chance to win the title in the same year.
If the Serb wins the AO title, there is 75% chance to reach the semifinal in Wimbledon in the same year (except in 2008).
If he is seeded No. 1 or No. 2 in Wimbledon, there is 100% to reach the semi-final.
(In 2010, he was seeded No. 3 and in 2007 as No. 4, and he also reached the semifinals.)

Year Australian Open Wimbledon
2008 Champion R64
2011 Champion Champion
2012 Champion Semifinal
2013 Champion Runner-up
2015 Champion ???

In 2007 (Federer) and in 2011 (Djokovic), the Aussie Open champ won Wimbledon.
In 2015, it will happen again?


Following The Coach…

If Djokovic wins, he will equal his coach’s number of titles in Wimbledon…
If Federer wins, the number of championships of Edberg-Federer combo will be doubled than the Becker-Djokovic.
Becker and Djokovic reached 15 semifinals together like Edberg and Federer…

Champion Finals Runner-up Semifinal
Boris Becker (FRG, GER) 3 7 4 9
Novak Djokovic (SRB) 2 3 1 6
TOTAL 5 10 5 15
Champions Finals Runner-up Semifinal
Stefan Edberg (SWE) 2 3 1 6
Roger Federer (SUI) 7 9 2 9
TOTAL 9 12 3 15
Champions Finals Runner-up Semifinal
Andy Murray (GBR) 1 2 1 5
Amélie Mauresmo (FRA) 1 1 0 4
TOTAL 2 3 1 9

Roger’s Wait’ for 8…

Will Roger Federer be a sole record holder of Wimbledon with 8 titles?

The most titles at the same Grand Slam of all-time:

1. Rafael Nadal (ESP) 9 Roland Garros*
2. Max Decugis (FRA) 8 Roland Garros
3. Willie Renshaw (GBR) 7 Wimbledon
Pete Sampras (USA) 7 Wimbledon
Roger Federer (SUI) 7 Wimbledon*
Richard Sears (USA) 7 US Open
William Larned (USA) 7 US Open
Bill Tilden (USA) 7 US Open

*Still active

Federer’s opponents in Wimbledon by countries (1999-2014): 27 different nations

10 times FRA
9 times ESP
6 times RUS, USA
5 times CRO, SWE
4 times GBR, AUS, GER
3 times SRB, CZE, BEL, COL
2 times AUT, ARG, ITA
1 time UKR, KOR, NED, CHI, SVK, TPE, KAZ, ROU, LUX, SUI, CAN

Roger Federer NEVER played against African, Japanese and Central American players in Wimbledon.
ONLY European players beat Roger Federer in Wimbledon.

Will Federer reach his 10th Wimbledon final equaling Bill Tilden’s all-time record?

Finals @ GSs Champion Runner-up
Bill Tilden 10 (1918-1929)
US Nationals
7 3
Rafael Nadal 9 (2005-2014)
Roland Garros
9 0
Roger Federer 9 (2003-2015)
Wimbledon
7 2

Rafa’s Roughest Test

Since 2005, FIRST time in his career, Rafael Nadal arrived at Wimbledon without any Slam title in his hand…Will he able to win his first Grand Slam of the year in Wimbledon?

Will Nadal extand his all-time record streak of winning at least one Grand Slam title for 11 consecutive years?

If Nadal reaches the semifinal in Wimbledon, he will be the 5th player in Open-era who will have 200 match wins (not including the match won by walkover) at Grand Slams.

Match wins @ GS in Open-era


Another Hurray for Murray?

Since parting ways with Ivan Lendl (March of 2014), Andy Murray can break through and win his FIRST title with Mauresmo?

If he wins at Wimbledon

He will take over the 3rd position from Roger Federer on the “Decade’s Best” rank list:

Grand Slam titles in 2010s:

1. Rafael Nadal 8
2. Novak Djokovic 7
3. Roger Federer 2
Andy Murray 2
Stanislas Wawrinka 2
6. Marin Cilic 1

Since 2010, if Andy Murray played in the final at the first Grand Slam (Australian Open) of the year, he always reached at least the semifinal in Wimbledon in the same year.

Australian Open vs. Wimbledon
2010 Australian Open (RU) – 2010 Wimbledon (SF)
2011 Australian Open (RU) – 2011 Wimbledon (SF)
2013 Australian Open (RU) – 2013 Wimbledon (CH)
2015 Australian Open (RU) – 2015 Wimbledon ???

Andy Murray NEVER lost matches in R128 and R64 in Wimbledon.
Andy Murray NEVER played against Australian players in Wimbledon.
Andy Murray will play his 50th Grand Slam match in R128 at Wimbledon’15.

If Murray reaches the semifinal in Wimbledon, he will be the 11th player in Open-era who will have at least 150 match wins (not including the match won by walkover) at Grand Slams.


Home At Wimbledon – The British Players

Wimbledon and the british

British players with Wimbledon titles (32):

1. William Renshaw 7
2. Lawrence Doherty 5
3. Reginald Doherty 4
4. Wilfred Baddeley 3
Arthur Gore 3
Fred Perry 3
5. John Hartley 2
6. Spencer Gore 1
Patrick Hadow 1
Herbert Lawford 1
Ernest Renshaw 1
Andy Murray 1

Streak – Land for US Players…

Will John Isner be the FIRST US champion of the XXIth century in Wimbledon?

By winning Wimbledon, John Isner will snap the 2nd longest winless streak by US players winning Grand Slam title in Wimbledon?

Longest winless streak by US players at each Grand Slam:

1999 Roland Garros (last winner: Andre Agassi) 16 years
2000 Wimbledon (last winner: Pete Sampras) 15 years
2003 Australian Open (last winner: Andre Agassi) 12 years
2003 US Open (last winner: Andy Roddick) 12 years

Wimbledon btw. 1920 - 2000 for US players

The FIRST US champion in Wimbledon was Bill Tilden in 1920 and the LAST one was Pete Sampras in 2000…

British vs. US titles in Wimbledon

Amateur-era Open-era Total no. of titles
British 31 1 32
US 18 15 33

If Andy Murray wins Wimbledon this year, the numbers of titles will be equaled between the two nations…


Without Losing a Set…

Since 1976, no player could win the title without losing a set in Wimbledon. This trend will be changed this year?
Last time when each singles Grand Slam won without losing a set:

2007 Australian Open winner: Roger Federer
2010 Roland Garros winner: Rafael Nadal
1976 Wimbledon winner: Bjorn Borg
1960 US Open winner: Neale Fraser

Match with Retired Player

Wimbledon has the LOWEST ratio at matches in the Open-era when one of the players should have retired due to an injury (109). It will be the 110th match when a player had to give up because of injury? Or after 2012, it will be another championship without any retirement?

Matches with injury retirements


Tiebreakers in Wimbledon

In 2014, record-high 80 matches were played with at least one tie-break in Wimbledon. It meant that the 62,5% of the 128 matches had at least one Tiebreak.

Since 1979, when the current tiebreak system came into force (at six games all in all sets except the last), 2325 matches had at least 1 tiebreak in Wimbledon which gives an average of 64,58%.

Interestingly, since 1989 the number of tiebreakers in Wimbledon was always higher than 70 in every 12th year:

Year No. of Tiebreakers
1989 73
2000 75
2012 72