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Halfway to the title – The Last 16 in Wimbledon / Men’s singles

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SEED of the SEEDS

  • 9.3 is the average of number of seeded players advancing into the last 16 in Wimbledon (Open-era)
  • Interestingly, the lowest numbers came up almost at every turn and beginning of the decades (’71, ’72, ’79,’81,’90,’00) until the Millennium. Since 2005, the average of number of seeded players advancing into the last 16 in Wimbledon is 12!

No. of seeded players in the last 16 at Wimbledon (Open-era)
In the Open-era
NEVER happened that either No.1 or No.2 seeded players did not reach the last 16!

37 x Both No. 1 and No. 2 seeded players advanced into R16
6 x Only No.1 seed advanced into R16 (title won 4x: Sampras ’94,’97-98, Hewitt ’02)
4 x Only No.2 player advanced into R16 (and won only 1x:Federer ’09)

When the No.1 and No.2 seeded players advanced into the R16 (37x):

15x No.1 seeded player won the title
12x No.2 seeded player won the title
4x No.3 seeded player won the title
2x No.4 seeded player won the title
2x No.6 seeded player won the title
2x unseeded players won the titles:Becker ’85 and Ivanisevic with WC in ’01

Having regard to the above ratios, this year, when – again – the No.1 and No.2 seeded players advanced into the R16:

No.1 seeded Djokovic has 40,54%
No.2 seeded Federer has 32,43%
No.3 seeded Murray has 10,81%
No.4 seeded Wawrinka has 5,40%
No.6 seeded Berdych has 5,40%

to win the title in Wimbledon.


Waiting for the Next Aussie Champ in Wimbledon…

On the following diagram, you can track the changes of the numbers of the Australian players in the last 16 in Wimbledon.

In the Open-era, 6 titles was won by 4 Aussie players in 47 years! After 4 straight titles between 1968-71 (2-2 Laver and Newcombe), Australian fans had to wait for 16 years when Pat Cash claimed the trophy in Wimbledon. 15 years later, Lleyton Hewitt won in 2002. If Australian players keep this trend, their next successful Wimby campaign will happen next year (14 years after the last one).

In 2002, it was the last time when a non-European player succeed in Wimbledon!

No. of AUS players in the last 16 in Wimbledon (Open-era)


The Third Golden-Era for US Players…still yet to come?

On the following diagram, you can track the changes of the numbers of the US players in the last 16 in Wimbledon.
There were two golden-era inside 28 years:

  1. Between 1972 – 1984, when 4 US players (McEnroe 3, Connors 2, Ashe and Smith 1-1) won 7 titles;
  2. Between 1992-2000, when 2 US players (Sampras 7, Agassi 1) won total 8 titles in 9 years.

In 1984, there was the highest number of US players (12) in Round 16, however in the last decade, the highest number was only 2!
No. of US players in the last 16 in Wimbledon (Open-era)


Walkover in the Last 16…

No. of Walkover at the Grand Slams (Open-era)
In the Open-era, Walkover happened ONLY once in the last 16 at Wimbledon:Roger Federer advanced against Tommy Haas in 2007.
Interestingly, there were 2 Walkovers in the Open-era in the last 16 of US Open and both times, Roger Federer advanced (against Andrei Pavel in 2004 and against Mardy Fish in 2012).


Comeback from 0-2 down

Comeback from 0-2 down in the Round 16 in Wimbledon, it happened 11 times in the Open-era. Last time in 2011.

  1. Kodes – Gorman (1974)
  2. Gerulaitis – Ashe (1976)
  3. Pasarell – Dent (1976)
  4. Fibak – Gerulaitis (1980)
  5. Connors – Pernfors (1987)
  6. Gilbert – Wheaton (1990)
  7. Nadal – Youzhny (2007)
  8. Ancic – Verdasco (2008)
  9. Murray – Gasquet (2008)
  10. Hewitt – Stepanek (2009)
  11. Lopez – Kubot (2011)

Since 1990, US player was not able to comeback in this round in Wimbledon!
Since 2009, no Australian player could come back from 0-2 down in Wimbledon in Round 16.


Five Setters

5 Setters at Grand Slams (Open-era)

Last year, total 23 five setters were played in Wimbledon at the men’s side. This year, only on the first week, already 27 five-setters were completed! Only 6 five-set matches are missing to reach the 1200 in Wimbledon